ARIN just subdivided their last /17, /18, /19, /20, /21 and /22. Down to only /23s and /24s now. : ipv6

[frnkblk at iname.com (frnkblk at iname.com)]

What's the ratio of mobile (cellular) endpoints to non-mobile devices?  And
we know that mobile continues to grow faster than fixed endpoints -- at what
point will the scales naturally tip to IPv6?

-----Original Message-----
From: NANOG [mailto:nanog-bounces at nanog.org] On Behalf Of Mikael Abrahamsson
Sent: Saturday, June 27, 2015 9:54 AM
To: Rafael Possamai
Cc: North American Network Operators' Group
Subject: Re: ARIN just subdivided their last /17, /18, /19, /20, /21 and
/22. Down to only /23s and /24s now. : ipv6

On Sat, 27 Jun 2015, Rafael Possamai wrote:

> How long do you think it will take to completely get rid of IPv4? Or is 
> it even going to happen at all?

I believe somewhere around 2018-2025 a lot of ISPs, hosting providers etc 
will start to treat IPv4 as a second rate citizen and for the people still 
single-stacked to IPv4 by then, the Internet experience is going to become 
so bad that they'll beg to get IPv6 and the ones not providing it will 
feel severe business impact of not doing IPv6.

Mobile providers will be the first huge ones to go IPv6 only to the 
devices, which will mean that from your mobile device, IPv4 will most 
likely work worse than IPv6. Then it's downhill from there.

-- 
Mikael Abrahamsson    email: swmike at swm.pp.se